Simulating the Birth and Migration
of Honey Bee Colonies
Now we combine into a model the actions of birth and movement. Begin with a
collection of pennies and a styrofoam cup having black and white beads.
The fraction of white beads is the probability that a colony divides.
- Begin with a coin on the board at square 0. This indicates one
colony at this location.
- Flip each coin on the board. If the coin lands heads, move
the coin up one square. If the coin lands tails, move down one square.
- For each coin on the board, pour a bead from the styrofoam cup. If the
bead is white, place a new marker on the square with the marker. This
indicates that a colony has divided.
- Return to the second step and continue until a marker reaches either
square +5 or square -5.
- If the probability of moving upstream and downstream is different from
1/2, then we will need a second styrofoam cup with bead. We can go to three
colors of beads to include the possibility that the colony does not move.
- Colony migration depends on the season, so we may want to have a
different set of styrofoam cups for different times of the year.